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Brock University (PanCan) model — probability that a screen-detected lung nodule is cancer

Current versionPulmonary·10 inputs·1 reference

Based on McWilliams A et al. (2013).

Pogosh offers this calculator when a case matches lung cancer. It runs only when you press Calculate.

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years
mm
Runs only when you press Calculate. Values are not stored.

References

  1. McWilliams A, Tammemagi MC, Mayo JR, et al. Probability of cancer in pulmonary nodules detected on first screening CT. N Engl J Med. 2013;369:910-919. PMID 24004118; PMC3951177 (Table 2). PubMed 24004118
Implementation notes

The footnote also says "4 mm is subtracted from the actual nodule size", but the printed transformation already centres size at 4 mm ((4/10)^−0.5 = 1.58113883); size enters only through the transformation. Risk = logistic transform of the linear predictor (the paper describes logistic-regression models; the formula itself is not printed).

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